The internal combustion engine will disappear from under the hoods of cars and crossovers by 2050, according to a Toyota executive’s recent prediction.
Seigo Kuzumaki is the company’s advanced R&D and engineering boss, and he believes by that year, EV technology will have advanced to the point it will render gasoline and diesel engines obsolete.
Meanwhile, by the time 2040 rolls around, the only combustion motors will be found in hybrids, where they will share the workload with electric motors, he says.
Kuzumaki’s expectation is carbon emissions will be 90 percent lower than 2010 levels by 2050 as the result of the EV revolution he sees in the auto industry’s future.
It may come as little surprise that, at the moment, 43 percent of all electrified vehicles sold annually around the world are driven away from Toyota dealers. Interestingly, while Toyota is a hybrid vehicle powerhouse, it has yet to market a fully electric vehicle.
But that will happen soon, as Toyota is planning to launch the first in a family of EVs in 2020. Those early models will promise about 450 km of driving range from a lithium-ion battery, but Toyota is pinning big hopes on smaller, safer and more power-dense solid-state batteries it says will be ready for primetime by the early 2020s.
The 2040 date coincides nicely with proposed bans on the sale of combustion-only vehicles in places like the U.K. and France; England’s 2040 combustion ban will still permit the sale of hybrids. California has gotten in on that action too by considering a ban it hopes will cut that U.S. state’s carbon dioxide emissions to 80 percent of 1990 levels by 2050.